Timothy Plan Correlations

TSVCX Fund

USD 10.12 0.16 1.61%

The current 90-days correlation between Timothy Plan Small and Timothy Plan International is 0.71 (i.e., Poor diversification). The correlation of Timothy Plan is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random.

Timothy Plan Correlation With Market

Modest diversification

The correlation between Timothy Plan Small and DJI is 0.24 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Timothy Plan Small and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Timothy Plan Small. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Moving together with Timothy Mutual Fund

0.82	TGCIX	Timothy Plan Growth	Pair Corr
0.86	TGIAX	Timothy Plan Growth	Pair Corr
0.67	TIAGX	Timothy Aggressive Growth	Pair Corr
0.74	TIGIX	Timothy Plan Growth	Pair Corr
0.79	TISGX	Timothy Plan Strategic	Pair Corr
0.68	TLGCX	Timothy Largemip Cap	Pair Corr
0.7	TLVCX	Timothy Largemid Cap	Pair Corr
0.82	TLVAX	Timothy Largemid Cap	Pair Corr
0.74	TMVIX	Timothy Largemid Cap	Pair Corr
0.64	TPAIX	Timothy Israel Mon Steady Growth	Pair Corr
0.66	TPDIX	Timothy Plan Defensive	Pair Corr
0.61	TPCIX	Timothy Israel Mon Steady Growth	Pair Corr
0.71	TPICX	Timothy Plan Interna	Pair Corr
0.73	TPIAX	Timothy Plan Interna	Pair Corr
0.74	TPIIX	Timothy Plan Interna	Pair Corr
0.7	TPHCX	Timothy Plan High	Pair Corr
0.62	TPHIX	Timothy Plan High	Pair Corr
0.88	TPLNX	Timothy Small Cap	Pair Corr
0.82	TPVIX	Timothy Small Cap	Pair Corr
0.61	TAAGX	Timothy Aggressive Growth	Pair Corr
0.9	TSGCX	Timothy Strategic Growth	Pair Corr
0.74	TSGAX	Timothy Strategic Growth	Pair Corr
0.83	TCGAX	Timothy Servative Growth	Pair Corr
0.9	TCVCX	Timothy Servative Growth	Pair Corr
0.82	VSMAX	Vanguard Small Cap	Pair Corr
0.79	VSCIX	Vanguard Small Cap	Pair Corr
0.83	VSCPX	Vanguard Small Cap	Pair Corr
0.82	NAESX	Vanguard Small Cap	Pair Corr
0.92	FSSNX	Fidelity Small Cap	Pair Corr

Related Correlations Analysis

	TPIAX	TRDFX	NWGSX	TSAGX	BSL	GIOTX	SPVZX	DFDSX
TPIAX		0.63	0.66	0.81	0.08	0.34	0.57	0.58	TPIAX
TRDFX	0.63		0.78	0.66	-0.24	0.51	0.67	0.55	TRDFX
NWGSX	0.66	0.78		0.62	-0.24	0.4	0.72	0.55	NWGSX
TSAGX	0.81	0.66	0.62		0.15	0.29	0.5	0.68	TSAGX
BSL	0.08	-0.24	-0.24	0.15		-0.4	-0.41	-0.23	BSL
GIOTX	0.34	0.51	0.4	0.29	-0.4		0.81	0.62	GIOTX
SPVZX	0.57	0.67	0.72	0.5	-0.41	0.81		0.78	SPVZX
DFDSX	0.58	0.55	0.55	0.68	-0.23	0.62	0.78		DFDSX
	TPIAX	TRDFX	NWGSX	TSAGX	BSL	GIOTX	SPVZX	DFDSX

Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

TSAGX	+ 0.81	TPIAX
SPVZX	+ 0.81	GIOTX
NWGSX	+ 0.78	TRDFX
DFDSX	+ 0.78	SPVZX
SPVZX	+ 0.72	NWGSX
DFDSX	+ 0.68	TSAGX

High negative correlations

SPVZX	- 0.41	BSL
GIOTX	- 0.4	BSL
BSL	- 0.24	NWGSX
BSL	- 0.24	TRDFX
DFDSX	- 0.23	BSL

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Timothy Mutual Fund performing well and Timothy Plan Mutual Fund doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Timothy Plan's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

	Mean Deviation	Jensen Alpha	Sortino Ratio	Treynor Ratio	Semi Deviation	Expected Shortfall	Potential Upside	Value @Risk	Maximum Drawdown
TPIAX	0.61	0.04	(0.04)	0.32	0.71	(0.62)	1.29	(1.03)	2.92
TRDFX	0.91	0.15	0.08	0.48	0.86	(1.04)	2.04	(1.61)	10.21
NWGSX	1.55	0.49	0.47	0.84	0.31	(2.32)	2.20	(1.50)	35.57
TSAGX	0.95	(0.06)	(0.03)	0.03	1.46	(0.86)	1.95	(2.31)	6.95
BSL	0.21	(0.02)	(0.19)	(0.05)	0.35	(0.23)	0.45	(0.52)	2.43
GIOTX	0.76	(0.04)	(0.02)	0.05	1.69	(0.67)	1.37	(1.31)	11.40
SPVZX	0.66	0.02	0.01	0.11	0.74	(0.67)	1.35	(1.25)	3.13
DFDSX	0.78	(0.04)	(0.04)	0.04	0.81	(0.99)	1.88	(1.40)	4.15

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