37 Interactive Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

002555 Stock   16.68  0.28  1.65%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of 37 Interactive Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 16.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.39. 002555 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 37 Interactive stock prices and determine the direction of 37 Interactive Entertainment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 37 Interactive's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, 37 Interactive's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 6.2 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 52.5 M.
A naive forecasting model for 37 Interactive is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of 37 Interactive Entertainment value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

37 Interactive Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of 37 Interactive Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 16.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 002555 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 37 Interactive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

37 Interactive Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest 37 Interactive37 Interactive Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

37 Interactive Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 37 Interactive's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 37 Interactive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.97 and 19.94, respectively. We have considered 37 Interactive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.68
16.46
Expected Value
19.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 37 Interactive stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 37 Interactive stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3136
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5224
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0336
SAESum of the absolute errors32.3859
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of 37 Interactive Entertainment. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict 37 Interactive. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for 37 Interactive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 37 Interactive Enter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.2016.6820.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2113.6917.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.5316.5617.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.290.290.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 37 Interactive. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 37 Interactive's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 37 Interactive's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 37 Interactive Enter.

Other Forecasting Options for 37 Interactive

For every potential investor in 002555, whether a beginner or expert, 37 Interactive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 002555 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 002555. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 37 Interactive's price trends.

37 Interactive Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 37 Interactive stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 37 Interactive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 37 Interactive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

37 Interactive Enter Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 37 Interactive's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 37 Interactive's current price.

37 Interactive Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 37 Interactive stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 37 Interactive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 37 Interactive stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 37 Interactive Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

37 Interactive Risk Indicators

The analysis of 37 Interactive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 37 Interactive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 002555 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 002555 Stock

37 Interactive financial ratios help investors to determine whether 002555 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 002555 with respect to the benefits of owning 37 Interactive security.