Daejoo Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

003310 Stock  KRW 1,372  1.00  0.07%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Daejoo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1,384 with a mean absolute deviation of 30.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,246. Daejoo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Daejoo stock prices and determine the direction of Daejoo Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Daejoo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Daejoo Inc is based on a synthetically constructed Daejoodaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Daejoo 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Daejoo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1,384 with a mean absolute deviation of 30.39, mean absolute percentage error of 1,996, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,246.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Daejoo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Daejoo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Daejoo Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest DaejooDaejoo Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Daejoo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Daejoo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Daejoo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,382 and 1,386, respectively. We have considered Daejoo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,372
1,384
Expected Value
1,386
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Daejoo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Daejoo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria88.9521
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 5.9122
MADMean absolute deviation30.3927
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0219
SAESum of the absolute errors1246.1
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Daejoo Inc 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Daejoo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daejoo Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3701,3721,374
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2881,2901,509
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,3031,3941,484
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Daejoo

For every potential investor in Daejoo, whether a beginner or expert, Daejoo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Daejoo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Daejoo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Daejoo's price trends.

Daejoo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Daejoo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Daejoo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Daejoo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Daejoo Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Daejoo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Daejoo's current price.

Daejoo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Daejoo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Daejoo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Daejoo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Daejoo Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Daejoo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Daejoo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Daejoo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting daejoo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Daejoo

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Daejoo position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Daejoo will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Daejoo Stock

  0.44003920 Namyang DairyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Daejoo could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Daejoo when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Daejoo - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Daejoo Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Daejoo is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Daejoo moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Daejoo Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Daejoo can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Daejoo Stock

Daejoo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daejoo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daejoo with respect to the benefits of owning Daejoo security.