YuantaP Shares Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression

0051 Etf  TWD 78.15  0.70  0.89%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of YuantaP shares Taiwan Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 76.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.84. YuantaP Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
YuantaP Shares polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for YuantaP shares Taiwan Mid Cap as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

YuantaP Shares Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of YuantaP shares Taiwan Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 76.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 1.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict YuantaP Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that YuantaP Shares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

YuantaP Shares Etf Forecast Pattern

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YuantaP Shares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting YuantaP Shares' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. YuantaP Shares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 75.35 and 77.44, respectively. We have considered YuantaP Shares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
78.15
76.40
Expected Value
77.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of YuantaP Shares etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent YuantaP Shares etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.2427
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9491
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors58.8442
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the YuantaP Shares historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for YuantaP Shares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YuantaP shares Taiwan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.1178.1579.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.5078.5479.58
Details

Other Forecasting Options for YuantaP Shares

For every potential investor in YuantaP, whether a beginner or expert, YuantaP Shares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. YuantaP Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in YuantaP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying YuantaP Shares' price trends.

YuantaP Shares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with YuantaP Shares etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of YuantaP Shares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YuantaP Shares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

YuantaP shares Taiwan Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of YuantaP Shares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of YuantaP Shares' current price.

YuantaP Shares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how YuantaP Shares etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading YuantaP Shares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying YuantaP Shares etf market strength indicators, traders can identify YuantaP shares Taiwan Mid Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

YuantaP Shares Risk Indicators

The analysis of YuantaP Shares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in YuantaP Shares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yuantap etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in YuantaP Etf

YuantaP Shares financial ratios help investors to determine whether YuantaP Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in YuantaP with respect to the benefits of owning YuantaP Shares security.