Korea Ratings Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

034950 Stock  KRW 88,000  100.00  0.11%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Korea Ratings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 88,061 with a mean absolute deviation of 426.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,612. Korea Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Korea Ratings stock prices and determine the direction of Korea Ratings Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Korea Ratings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Korea Ratings works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Korea Ratings Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Korea Ratings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 88,061 with a mean absolute deviation of 426.87, mean absolute percentage error of 349,076, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,612.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Korea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Korea Ratings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Korea Ratings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Korea RatingsKorea Ratings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Korea Ratings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Korea Ratings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Korea Ratings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 88,060 and 88,061, respectively. We have considered Korea Ratings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
88,000
88,060
Downside
88,061
Expected Value
88,061
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Korea Ratings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Korea Ratings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 71.1263
MADMean absolute deviation426.8659
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.005
SAESum of the absolute errors25611.9528
When Korea Ratings Co prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Korea Ratings Co trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Korea Ratings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Korea Ratings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Ratings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87,99988,00088,001
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85,35785,35896,800
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
86,63388,07089,507
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korea Ratings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korea Ratings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korea Ratings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korea Ratings.

Other Forecasting Options for Korea Ratings

For every potential investor in Korea, whether a beginner or expert, Korea Ratings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Korea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Korea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Korea Ratings' price trends.

Korea Ratings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Korea Ratings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Korea Ratings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Korea Ratings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Korea Ratings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Korea Ratings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Korea Ratings' current price.

Korea Ratings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Korea Ratings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Korea Ratings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Korea Ratings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Korea Ratings Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Korea Ratings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Korea Ratings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Korea Ratings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting korea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Korea Ratings

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Korea Ratings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Korea Ratings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Korea Stock

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  0.52302430 InnometryPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Korea Ratings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Korea Ratings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Korea Ratings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Korea Ratings Co to buy it.
The correlation of Korea Ratings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Korea Ratings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Korea Ratings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Korea Ratings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Korea Stock

Korea Ratings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korea with respect to the benefits of owning Korea Ratings security.