JUSUNG ENGINEERING Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

036930 Stock  KRW 29,200  650.00  2.28%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co on the next trading day is expected to be 28,038 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62,067. JUSUNG Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JUSUNG ENGINEERING stock prices and determine the direction of JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JUSUNG ENGINEERING's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for JUSUNG ENGINEERING is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co on the next trading day is expected to be 28,038 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,001, mean absolute percentage error of 1,524,909, and the sum of the absolute errors of 62,067.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JUSUNG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JUSUNG ENGINEERING's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest JUSUNG ENGINEERINGJUSUNG ENGINEERING Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JUSUNG ENGINEERING's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JUSUNG ENGINEERING's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28,034 and 28,041, respectively. We have considered JUSUNG ENGINEERING's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29,200
28,034
Downside
28,038
Expected Value
28,041
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JUSUNG ENGINEERING stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JUSUNG ENGINEERING stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria134.1858
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1001.075
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0366
SAESum of the absolute errors62066.6483
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict JUSUNG ENGINEERING. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for JUSUNG ENGINEERING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JUSUNG ENGINEERING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29,19629,20029,204
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23,80023,80432,120
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25,27228,64632,019
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JUSUNG ENGINEERING. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JUSUNG ENGINEERING's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JUSUNG ENGINEERING's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JUSUNG ENGINEERING.

Other Forecasting Options for JUSUNG ENGINEERING

For every potential investor in JUSUNG, whether a beginner or expert, JUSUNG ENGINEERING's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JUSUNG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JUSUNG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JUSUNG ENGINEERING's price trends.

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JUSUNG ENGINEERING stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JUSUNG ENGINEERING could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JUSUNG ENGINEERING by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JUSUNG ENGINEERING's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JUSUNG ENGINEERING's current price.

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JUSUNG ENGINEERING stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JUSUNG ENGINEERING shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JUSUNG ENGINEERING stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Risk Indicators

The analysis of JUSUNG ENGINEERING's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JUSUNG ENGINEERING's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jusung stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with JUSUNG ENGINEERING

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if JUSUNG ENGINEERING position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in JUSUNG ENGINEERING will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to JUSUNG ENGINEERING could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace JUSUNG ENGINEERING when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back JUSUNG ENGINEERING - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co to buy it.
The correlation of JUSUNG ENGINEERING is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as JUSUNG ENGINEERING moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if JUSUNG ENGINEERING moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for JUSUNG ENGINEERING can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in JUSUNG Stock

JUSUNG ENGINEERING financial ratios help investors to determine whether JUSUNG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JUSUNG with respect to the benefits of owning JUSUNG ENGINEERING security.