Korea Information Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

039740 Stock  KRW 2,375  5.00  0.21%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Korea Information Engineering on the next trading day is expected to be 2,375 with a mean absolute deviation of 32.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,928. Korea Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Korea Information stock prices and determine the direction of Korea Information Engineering's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Korea Information's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Korea Information is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Korea Information Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Korea Information Engineering on the next trading day is expected to be 2,375 with a mean absolute deviation of 32.12, mean absolute percentage error of 1,896, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,928.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Korea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Korea Information's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Korea Information Stock Forecast Pattern

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Korea Information Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Korea Information's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Korea Information's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,374 and 2,376, respectively. We have considered Korea Information's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,375
2,375
Expected Value
2,376
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Korea Information stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Korea Information stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.82
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 7.9583
MADMean absolute deviation32.125
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0125
SAESum of the absolute errors1927.5
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Korea Information Engineering price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Korea Information. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Korea Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,3742,3752,376
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,1922,1942,612
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,3942,6002,806
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korea Information. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korea Information's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korea Information's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korea Information.

Other Forecasting Options for Korea Information

For every potential investor in Korea, whether a beginner or expert, Korea Information's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Korea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Korea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Korea Information's price trends.

Korea Information Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Korea Information stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Korea Information could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Korea Information by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Korea Information Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Korea Information's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Korea Information's current price.

Korea Information Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Korea Information stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Korea Information shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Korea Information stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Korea Information Engineering entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Korea Information Risk Indicators

The analysis of Korea Information's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Korea Information's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting korea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Korea Information

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Korea Information position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Korea Information will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Korea Information could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Korea Information when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Korea Information - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Korea Information Engineering to buy it.
The correlation of Korea Information is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Korea Information moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Korea Information moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Korea Information can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Korea Stock

Korea Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korea with respect to the benefits of owning Korea Information security.