PT Global Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

06L Stock   0.01  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PT Global Mediacom on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. 06L Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for PT Global Mediacom is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

PT Global 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PT Global Mediacom on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 06L Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PT Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PT Global Stock Forecast Pattern

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PT Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PT Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PT Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000075 and 2.66, respectively. We have considered PT Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.000075
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
2.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PT Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PT Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria93.8041
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.015
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0068
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of PT Global. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for PT Global Mediacom and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for PT Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Global Mediacom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PT Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.012.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.012.66
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PT Global

For every potential investor in 06L, whether a beginner or expert, PT Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 06L Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 06L. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PT Global's price trends.

PT Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PT Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PT Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PT Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PT Global Mediacom Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PT Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PT Global's current price.

PT Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PT Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PT Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PT Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PT Global Mediacom entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PT Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of PT Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PT Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 06l stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for 06L Stock Analysis

When running PT Global's price analysis, check to measure PT Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PT Global is operating at the current time. Most of PT Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PT Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PT Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PT Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.