Jeju Semiconductor Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

080220 Stock  KRW 9,510  110.00  1.17%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jeju Semiconductor Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10,674 with a mean absolute deviation of 999.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40,994. Jeju Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jeju Semiconductor stock prices and determine the direction of Jeju Semiconductor Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jeju Semiconductor's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Jeju Semiconductor Corp is based on a synthetically constructed Jeju Semiconductordaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Jeju Semiconductor 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jeju Semiconductor Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10,674 with a mean absolute deviation of 999.85, mean absolute percentage error of 1,329,670, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40,994.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jeju Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jeju Semiconductor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jeju Semiconductor Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jeju SemiconductorJeju Semiconductor Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jeju Semiconductor Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jeju Semiconductor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jeju Semiconductor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10,671 and 10,677, respectively. We have considered Jeju Semiconductor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9,510
10,671
Downside
10,674
Expected Value
10,677
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jeju Semiconductor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jeju Semiconductor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.4534
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 631.3415
MADMean absolute deviation999.8537
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0909
SAESum of the absolute errors40994.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Jeju Semiconductor Corp 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Jeju Semiconductor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jeju Semiconductor Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,5079,5109,513
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,9058,90810,461
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9,3709,4739,577
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jeju Semiconductor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jeju Semiconductor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jeju Semiconductor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jeju Semiconductor Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Jeju Semiconductor

For every potential investor in Jeju, whether a beginner or expert, Jeju Semiconductor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jeju Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jeju. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jeju Semiconductor's price trends.

Jeju Semiconductor Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jeju Semiconductor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jeju Semiconductor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jeju Semiconductor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jeju Semiconductor Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jeju Semiconductor's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jeju Semiconductor's current price.

Jeju Semiconductor Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jeju Semiconductor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jeju Semiconductor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jeju Semiconductor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jeju Semiconductor Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jeju Semiconductor Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jeju Semiconductor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jeju Semiconductor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jeju stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Jeju Semiconductor

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Jeju Semiconductor position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Jeju Semiconductor will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Jeju Stock

  0.83078020 EBEST Investment SecPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Jeju Semiconductor could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Jeju Semiconductor when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Jeju Semiconductor - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Jeju Semiconductor Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Jeju Semiconductor is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Jeju Semiconductor moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Jeju Semiconductor Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Jeju Semiconductor can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Jeju Stock

Jeju Semiconductor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jeju Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jeju with respect to the benefits of owning Jeju Semiconductor security.