Hyundai Glovis Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

086280 Stock   123,000  2,000  1.60%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hyundai Glovis on the next trading day is expected to be 123,025 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,772 and the sum of the absolute errors of 199,900. Hyundai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hyundai Glovis stock prices and determine the direction of Hyundai Glovis's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hyundai Glovis' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Hyundai Glovis is based on an artificially constructed time series of Hyundai Glovis daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hyundai Glovis 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hyundai Glovis on the next trading day is expected to be 123,025 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,772, mean absolute percentage error of 18,504,688, and the sum of the absolute errors of 199,900.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hyundai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hyundai Glovis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hyundai Glovis Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hyundai GlovisHyundai Glovis Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hyundai Glovis Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hyundai Glovis' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hyundai Glovis' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 123,023 and 123,027, respectively. We have considered Hyundai Glovis' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
123,000
123,023
Downside
123,025
Expected Value
123,027
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hyundai Glovis stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hyundai Glovis stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.141
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1097.6415
MADMean absolute deviation3771.6981
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0317
SAESum of the absolute errors199900.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hyundai Glovis 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hyundai Glovis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hyundai Glovis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122,998123,000123,002
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101,155101,157135,300
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
119,018122,710126,402
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hyundai Glovis. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hyundai Glovis' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hyundai Glovis' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hyundai Glovis.

Other Forecasting Options for Hyundai Glovis

For every potential investor in Hyundai, whether a beginner or expert, Hyundai Glovis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hyundai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hyundai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hyundai Glovis' price trends.

Hyundai Glovis Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hyundai Glovis stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hyundai Glovis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hyundai Glovis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hyundai Glovis Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hyundai Glovis' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hyundai Glovis' current price.

Hyundai Glovis Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hyundai Glovis stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hyundai Glovis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hyundai Glovis stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hyundai Glovis entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hyundai Glovis Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hyundai Glovis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hyundai Glovis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hyundai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Hyundai Glovis

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hyundai Glovis position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hyundai Glovis will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Hyundai Stock

  0.52005930 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.47005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hyundai Glovis could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hyundai Glovis when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hyundai Glovis - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hyundai Glovis to buy it.
The correlation of Hyundai Glovis is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hyundai Glovis moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hyundai Glovis moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hyundai Glovis can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Hyundai Stock

Hyundai Glovis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hyundai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hyundai with respect to the benefits of owning Hyundai Glovis security.