Ninepoint Energy Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

0P0000732C  CAD 27.78  0.05  0.18%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ninepoint Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 27.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.52. Ninepoint Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ninepoint Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Ninepoint Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ninepoint Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Ninepoint Energy is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Ninepoint Energy 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ninepoint Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 27.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ninepoint Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ninepoint Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ninepoint Energy Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ninepoint EnergyNinepoint Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ninepoint Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ninepoint Energy's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ninepoint Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.15 and 29.28, respectively. We have considered Ninepoint Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.78
27.71
Expected Value
29.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ninepoint Energy fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ninepoint Energy fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.5001
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0784
MADMean absolute deviation0.4572
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0168
SAESum of the absolute errors26.52
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Ninepoint Energy. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Ninepoint Energy and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Ninepoint Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ninepoint Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.2227.7829.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.0427.6029.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.1627.9828.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ninepoint Energy

For every potential investor in Ninepoint, whether a beginner or expert, Ninepoint Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ninepoint Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ninepoint. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ninepoint Energy's price trends.

Ninepoint Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ninepoint Energy fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ninepoint Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ninepoint Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ninepoint Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ninepoint Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ninepoint Energy's current price.

Ninepoint Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ninepoint Energy fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ninepoint Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ninepoint Energy fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Ninepoint Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ninepoint Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ninepoint Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ninepoint Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ninepoint fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Ninepoint Energy

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ninepoint Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ninepoint Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Ninepoint Fund

  0.70P00007065 RBC mondial dnergiePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ninepoint Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ninepoint Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ninepoint Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ninepoint Energy to buy it.
The correlation of Ninepoint Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ninepoint Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ninepoint Energy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ninepoint Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Ninepoint Fund

Ninepoint Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ninepoint Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ninepoint with respect to the benefits of owning Ninepoint Energy security.
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