Pentair PLC Stock Forward View
| 0Y5X Stock | 79.77 -0.77 -0.96% |
Pentair PLC's Naive Prediction forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The fit is assessed against recent observations, so the output reflects the latest available data. When MAPE exceeds 10%, the model's short-term predictive value is significantly reduced. The Naive Prediction model projects Pentair PLC at 73.43 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. The Naive Prediction output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Naive Prediction model forecasts Pentair PLC at 73.43 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 80.60 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Pentair PLC's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pentair PLC | Pentair PLC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Pentair PLC defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The forecast band spans 70.97 to 75.90. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Naive Prediction model's error metrics for Pentair PLC stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0387 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3212 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0146 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 80.5958 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pentair PLC
Volume-weighted price analysis for Pentair Stock gives heavier weight to price levels where trading activity was highest. Crossovers in the MACD line and signal line identify shifts in Pentair momentum before they appear in raw price. Comparing Pentair PLC's realized volatility to implied volatility reveals whether the options market expects larger or smaller moves. Readings above 80 or below 20 highlight potential reversal zones in Pentair Stock price action.Pentair PLC Related Equities
Pentair PLC's market space within the Industrials space is illustrated by the firms listed below. Growth rate gaps between Pentair PLC and its peers often explain pricing differences in the market.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pentair PLC Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Pentair PLC, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Pentair PLC. These metrics are particularly useful when Pentair PLC stock shows divergence from broader market trends. These metrics provide additional context for comparing intraday conviction with broader price movement in Pentair PLC.
Pentair PLC Risk Indicators
Analyzing Pentair PLC's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for pentair stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Pentair PLC. Semi-deviation focuses exclusively on returns below the mean, making it a more conservative risk gauge for Pentair PLC than full standard deviation. The risk-return trade-off for pentair stock becomes clearer when downside and total variance are viewed together.
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Variance | 5.7 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pentair PLC Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Pentair PLC matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 165.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 101.6 M |
Additional Tools for Pentair Stock Analysis
Price Exposure ProbabilityAnalyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple marketsPortfolio AnalyzerPortfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engineAlpha FinderUse alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the riskPortfolio CenterAll portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfoliosTransaction HistoryView history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performanceGlobal CorrelationsFind global opportunities by holding instruments from different marketsEquity AnalysisResearch over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunitiesSectorsList of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activitiesCompetition AnalyzerCompare fundamental indicators side by side for a group of related or unrelated entities