High Tech Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

106190 Stock  KRW 15,170  620.00  3.93%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of High Tech Pharm on the next trading day is expected to be 15,506 with a mean absolute deviation of 711.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43,410. High Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast High Tech stock prices and determine the direction of High Tech Pharm's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of High Tech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through High Tech price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

High Tech Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of High Tech Pharm on the next trading day is expected to be 15,506 with a mean absolute deviation of 711.64, mean absolute percentage error of 753,202, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43,410.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict High Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that High Tech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

High Tech Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest High TechHigh Tech Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

High Tech Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting High Tech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. High Tech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15,504 and 15,508, respectively. We have considered High Tech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15,170
15,504
Downside
15,506
Expected Value
15,508
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of High Tech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent High Tech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria131.6426
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation711.6423
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0498
SAESum of the absolute errors43410.1798
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as High Tech Pharm historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for High Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as High Tech Pharm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15,16815,17015,172
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,47212,47416,687
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14,99715,58716,176
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as High Tech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against High Tech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, High Tech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in High Tech Pharm.

Other Forecasting Options for High Tech

For every potential investor in High, whether a beginner or expert, High Tech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. High Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in High. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying High Tech's price trends.

High Tech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with High Tech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of High Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing High Tech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

High Tech Pharm Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of High Tech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of High Tech's current price.

High Tech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how High Tech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading High Tech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying High Tech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify High Tech Pharm entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

High Tech Risk Indicators

The analysis of High Tech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in High Tech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting high stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with High Tech

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if High Tech position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in High Tech will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against High Stock

  0.79336570 Daishin Balance No8PairCorr
  0.65047920 HLB PharmaceuticalPairCorr
  0.58254120 XavisPairCorr
  0.49030350 Dragonfly GF SplitPairCorr
  0.48023910 Daihan PharmaceuticalPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to High Tech could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace High Tech when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back High Tech - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling High Tech Pharm to buy it.
The correlation of High Tech is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as High Tech moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if High Tech Pharm moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for High Tech can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in High Stock

High Tech financial ratios help investors to determine whether High Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in High with respect to the benefits of owning High Tech security.