Youngchang Chemical Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

112290 Stock   13,120  480.00  3.80%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Youngchang Chemical Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14,768 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,646 and the sum of the absolute errors of 102,071. Youngchang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Youngchang Chemical stock prices and determine the direction of Youngchang Chemical Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Youngchang Chemical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Youngchang Chemical price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Youngchang Chemical Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Youngchang Chemical Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14,768 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,646, mean absolute percentage error of 3,565,712, and the sum of the absolute errors of 102,071.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Youngchang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Youngchang Chemical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Youngchang Chemical Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Youngchang ChemicalYoungchang Chemical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Youngchang Chemical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Youngchang Chemical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Youngchang Chemical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14,764 and 14,773, respectively. We have considered Youngchang Chemical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13,120
14,764
Downside
14,768
Expected Value
14,773
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Youngchang Chemical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Youngchang Chemical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria135.0353
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1646.2993
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1052
SAESum of the absolute errors102070.5543
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Youngchang Chemical Co historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Youngchang Chemical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Youngchang Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13,11513,12013,125
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,56812,57314,432
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11,67815,99620,313
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Youngchang Chemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Youngchang Chemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Youngchang Chemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Youngchang Chemical.

Other Forecasting Options for Youngchang Chemical

For every potential investor in Youngchang, whether a beginner or expert, Youngchang Chemical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Youngchang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Youngchang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Youngchang Chemical's price trends.

Youngchang Chemical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Youngchang Chemical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Youngchang Chemical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Youngchang Chemical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Youngchang Chemical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Youngchang Chemical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Youngchang Chemical's current price.

Youngchang Chemical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Youngchang Chemical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Youngchang Chemical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Youngchang Chemical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Youngchang Chemical Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Youngchang Chemical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Youngchang Chemical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Youngchang Chemical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting youngchang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Youngchang Chemical

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Youngchang Chemical position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Youngchang Chemical will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Youngchang Stock

  0.75051915 LG ChemPairCorr
  0.7278280 ChunboPairCorr
  0.63298000 Hyosung Chemical CorpPairCorr
  0.64220260 LIG ES SPACPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Youngchang Chemical could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Youngchang Chemical when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Youngchang Chemical - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Youngchang Chemical Co to buy it.
The correlation of Youngchang Chemical is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Youngchang Chemical moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Youngchang Chemical moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Youngchang Chemical can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Youngchang Stock

Youngchang Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Youngchang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Youngchang with respect to the benefits of owning Youngchang Chemical security.