Vina Technology Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

126340 Stock  KRW 25,200  1,500  5.62%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Vina Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 26,425 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,593 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86,019. Vina Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vina Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Vina Technology Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vina Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Vina Technology is based on an artificially constructed time series of Vina Technology daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Vina Technology 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Vina Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 26,425 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,593, mean absolute percentage error of 5,133,451, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86,019.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vina Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vina Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vina Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vina TechnologyVina Technology Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vina Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vina Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vina Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26,422 and 26,428, respectively. We have considered Vina Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25,200
26,422
Downside
26,425
Expected Value
26,428
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vina Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vina Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.6967
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 950.3472
MADMean absolute deviation1592.9398
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0502
SAESum of the absolute errors86018.75
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Vina Technology Co 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Vina Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vina Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25,19725,20025,203
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24,36824,37027,720
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25,49526,73027,965
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vina Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vina Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vina Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vina Technology.

Other Forecasting Options for Vina Technology

For every potential investor in Vina, whether a beginner or expert, Vina Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vina Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vina. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vina Technology's price trends.

Vina Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vina Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vina Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vina Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vina Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vina Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vina Technology's current price.

Vina Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vina Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vina Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vina Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vina Technology Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vina Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vina Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vina Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vina stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Vina Technology

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Vina Technology position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vina Technology will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Vina Stock

  0.76078600 Daejoo ElectronicPairCorr

Moving against Vina Stock

  0.38045390 DAEA TIPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Vina Technology could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Vina Technology when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Vina Technology - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Vina Technology Co to buy it.
The correlation of Vina Technology is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Vina Technology moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Vina Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Vina Technology can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Vina Stock

Vina Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vina Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vina with respect to the benefits of owning Vina Technology security.