Gem Terminal Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

2460 Stock  TWD 22.70  0.70  3.18%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gem Terminal Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 22.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.85. Gem Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Gem Terminal works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Gem Terminal Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gem Terminal Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 22.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gem Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gem Terminal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gem Terminal Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gem Terminal stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gem Terminal stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0805
MADMean absolute deviation0.4551
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0186
SAESum of the absolute errors26.85
When Gem Terminal Industry prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Gem Terminal Industry trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Gem Terminal observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Gem Terminal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gem Terminal Industry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.7022.7022.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4323.7823.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.8222.5724.32
Details

Gem Terminal Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gem Terminal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gem Terminal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gem Terminal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gem Terminal Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gem Terminal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gem Terminal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gem Terminal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gem Terminal Industry entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Gem Stock Analysis

When running Gem Terminal's price analysis, check to measure Gem Terminal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gem Terminal is operating at the current time. Most of Gem Terminal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gem Terminal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gem Terminal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gem Terminal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.