Pan Jit Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

2481 Stock  TWD 48.10  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pan Jit International on the next trading day is expected to be 48.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.90. Pan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Pan Jit simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Pan Jit International are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Pan Jit International prices get older.

Pan Jit Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pan Jit International on the next trading day is expected to be 48.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pan Jit's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pan Jit Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pan Jit stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pan Jit stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0477
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.125
MADMean absolute deviation0.615
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors36.9
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Pan Jit International forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Pan Jit observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Pan Jit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pan Jit International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.1048.1048.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.2950.3850.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
46.5851.3056.02
Details

Pan Jit Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pan Jit stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pan Jit could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pan Jit by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pan Jit Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pan Jit stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pan Jit shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pan Jit stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pan Jit International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Pan Stock Analysis

When running Pan Jit's price analysis, check to measure Pan Jit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pan Jit is operating at the current time. Most of Pan Jit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pan Jit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pan Jit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pan Jit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.