Radium Life Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

2547 Stock  TWD 10.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Radium Life Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 10.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.31. Radium Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Radium Life simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Radium Life Tech are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Radium Life Tech prices get older.

Radium Life Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Radium Life Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 10.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Radium Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Radium Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Radium Life Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Radium Life stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Radium Life stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6138
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0148
MADMean absolute deviation0.1718
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.016
SAESum of the absolute errors10.31
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Radium Life Tech forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Radium Life observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Radium Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Radium Life Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5010.5010.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4510.5210.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.3010.4911.68
Details

Radium Life Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Radium Life stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Radium Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Radium Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Radium Life Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Radium Life stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Radium Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Radium Life stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Radium Life Tech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Radium Stock Analysis

When running Radium Life's price analysis, check to measure Radium Life's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Radium Life is operating at the current time. Most of Radium Life's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Radium Life's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Radium Life's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Radium Life to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.