Wanhwa Enterprise Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

2701 Stock  TWD 12.80  0.10  0.79%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Wanhwa Enterprise Co on the next trading day is expected to be 12.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.24. Wanhwa Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Wanhwa Enterprise Co is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Wanhwa Enterprise 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Wanhwa Enterprise Co on the next trading day is expected to be 12.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wanhwa Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wanhwa Enterprise's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wanhwa Enterprise Stock Forecast Pattern

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Wanhwa Enterprise Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wanhwa Enterprise's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wanhwa Enterprise's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.26 and 13.29, respectively. We have considered Wanhwa Enterprise's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.80
12.78
Expected Value
13.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wanhwa Enterprise stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wanhwa Enterprise stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.2426
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0097
MADMean absolute deviation0.0558
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0044
SAESum of the absolute errors3.2375
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Wanhwa Enterprise. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Wanhwa Enterprise Co and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Wanhwa Enterprise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wanhwa Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2912.8013.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2112.7213.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.6612.7712.87
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Wanhwa Enterprise

For every potential investor in Wanhwa, whether a beginner or expert, Wanhwa Enterprise's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wanhwa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wanhwa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wanhwa Enterprise's price trends.

Wanhwa Enterprise Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wanhwa Enterprise stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wanhwa Enterprise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wanhwa Enterprise by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wanhwa Enterprise Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wanhwa Enterprise's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wanhwa Enterprise's current price.

Wanhwa Enterprise Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wanhwa Enterprise stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wanhwa Enterprise shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wanhwa Enterprise stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wanhwa Enterprise Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wanhwa Enterprise Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wanhwa Enterprise's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wanhwa Enterprise's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wanhwa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Wanhwa Stock Analysis

When running Wanhwa Enterprise's price analysis, check to measure Wanhwa Enterprise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wanhwa Enterprise is operating at the current time. Most of Wanhwa Enterprise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wanhwa Enterprise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wanhwa Enterprise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wanhwa Enterprise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.