Yummy Town Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

2726 Stock  TWD 26.40  0.10  0.38%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Yummy Town Cayman on the next trading day is expected to be 26.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.90. Yummy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Yummy Town Cayman is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Yummy Town 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Yummy Town Cayman on the next trading day is expected to be 26.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yummy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yummy Town's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yummy Town Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Yummy TownYummy Town Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Yummy Town Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yummy Town's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yummy Town's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.50 and 29.30, respectively. We have considered Yummy Town's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.40
26.40
Expected Value
29.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yummy Town stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yummy Town stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1835
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1553
MADMean absolute deviation0.5246
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0181
SAESum of the absolute errors29.9
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Yummy Town. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Yummy Town Cayman and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Yummy Town

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yummy Town Cayman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5026.4029.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.3923.2929.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.8627.1628.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Yummy Town

For every potential investor in Yummy, whether a beginner or expert, Yummy Town's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yummy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yummy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yummy Town's price trends.

Yummy Town Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yummy Town stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yummy Town could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yummy Town by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yummy Town Cayman Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yummy Town's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yummy Town's current price.

Yummy Town Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yummy Town stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yummy Town shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yummy Town stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yummy Town Cayman entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yummy Town Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yummy Town's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yummy Town's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yummy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Yummy Town

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Yummy Town position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Yummy Town will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Yummy Stock

  0.811229 Lien Hwa IndustrialPairCorr
  0.671227 Standard Foods CorpPairCorr

Moving against Yummy Stock

  0.822324 Compal ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.781231 Lian Hwa FoodsPairCorr
  0.773702A WPG HoldingsPairCorr
  0.743231 Wistron CorpPairCorr
  0.732882B Cathay Financial HoldingPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Yummy Town could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Yummy Town when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Yummy Town - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Yummy Town Cayman to buy it.
The correlation of Yummy Town is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Yummy Town moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Yummy Town Cayman moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Yummy Town can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Yummy Stock Analysis

When running Yummy Town's price analysis, check to measure Yummy Town's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yummy Town is operating at the current time. Most of Yummy Town's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yummy Town's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yummy Town's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yummy Town to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.