Mango Excellent Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

300413 Stock   27.49  0.81  2.86%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mango Excellent Media on the next trading day is expected to be 27.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.08. Mango Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mango Excellent stock prices and determine the direction of Mango Excellent Media's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mango Excellent's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Mango Excellent's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 10.4 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 86 M.
A naive forecasting model for Mango Excellent is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mango Excellent Media value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mango Excellent Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mango Excellent Media on the next trading day is expected to be 27.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 1.88, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mango Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mango Excellent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mango Excellent Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mango Excellent Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mango Excellent's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mango Excellent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.55 and 32.22, respectively. We have considered Mango Excellent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.49
27.89
Expected Value
32.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mango Excellent stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mango Excellent stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.5779
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9207
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0396
SAESum of the absolute errors57.0821
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mango Excellent Media. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mango Excellent. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mango Excellent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mango Excellent Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.8927.2031.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2221.5330.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.5126.1429.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.230.230.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mango Excellent

For every potential investor in Mango, whether a beginner or expert, Mango Excellent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mango Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mango. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mango Excellent's price trends.

Mango Excellent Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mango Excellent stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mango Excellent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mango Excellent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mango Excellent Media Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mango Excellent's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mango Excellent's current price.

Mango Excellent Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mango Excellent stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mango Excellent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mango Excellent stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mango Excellent Media entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mango Excellent Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mango Excellent's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mango Excellent's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mango stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Mango Stock

Mango Excellent financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mango Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mango with respect to the benefits of owning Mango Excellent security.