Dutch Lady Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

3026 Stock   31.00  0.56  1.84%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dutch Lady Milk on the next trading day is expected to be 31.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.41. Dutch Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Dutch Lady - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Dutch Lady prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Dutch Lady price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Dutch Lady Milk.

Dutch Lady Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dutch Lady Milk on the next trading day is expected to be 31.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dutch Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dutch Lady's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dutch Lady Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dutch Lady Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dutch Lady's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dutch Lady's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.94 and 32.25, respectively. We have considered Dutch Lady's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.00
31.10
Expected Value
32.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dutch Lady stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dutch Lady stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0528
MADMean absolute deviation0.2568
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0084
SAESum of the absolute errors15.4071
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Dutch Lady observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Dutch Lady Milk observations.

Predictive Modules for Dutch Lady

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dutch Lady Milk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.8431.0032.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.6225.7834.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dutch Lady

For every potential investor in Dutch, whether a beginner or expert, Dutch Lady's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dutch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dutch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dutch Lady's price trends.

Dutch Lady Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dutch Lady stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dutch Lady could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dutch Lady by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dutch Lady Milk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dutch Lady's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dutch Lady's current price.

Dutch Lady Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dutch Lady stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dutch Lady shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dutch Lady stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dutch Lady Milk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dutch Lady Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dutch Lady's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dutch Lady's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dutch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Dutch Stock

Dutch Lady financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dutch Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dutch with respect to the benefits of owning Dutch Lady security.