Advanced Ceramic Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 3152 Stock | TWD 160.50 1.50 0.93% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Advanced Ceramic X on the next trading day is expected to be 163.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.58. Advanced Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Advanced Ceramic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Advanced Ceramic X on the next trading day is expected to be 163.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.96, mean absolute percentage error of 13.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Advanced Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Advanced Ceramic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Advanced Ceramic Stock Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Advanced Ceramic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Advanced Ceramic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7484 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.9603 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0173 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 180.5767 |
Predictive Modules for Advanced Ceramic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Ceramic X. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Advanced Ceramic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Advanced Ceramic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Advanced Ceramic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Advanced Ceramic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Advanced Ceramic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Advanced Ceramic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Advanced Ceramic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Advanced Ceramic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Advanced Ceramic X entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Advanced Ceramic Risk Indicators
The analysis of Advanced Ceramic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Advanced Ceramic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting advanced stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.28 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Additional Tools for Advanced Stock Analysis
When running Advanced Ceramic's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Ceramic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Ceramic is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Ceramic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Ceramic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Ceramic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Ceramic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.