Western Copper Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

31WN Stock  EUR 1.03  0.01  0.96%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Western Copper and on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.46. Western Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Western Copper's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Western Copper - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Western Copper prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Western Copper price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Western Copper.

Western Copper Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Western Copper and on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Western Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Western Copper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Western Copper Stock Forecast Pattern

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Western Copper Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Western Copper's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Western Copper's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.37, respectively. We have considered Western Copper's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.03
1.03
Expected Value
4.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Western Copper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Western Copper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -3.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0247
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0233
SAESum of the absolute errors1.46
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Western Copper observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Western Copper and observations.

Predictive Modules for Western Copper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Western Copper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.034.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.894.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Western Copper

For every potential investor in Western, whether a beginner or expert, Western Copper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Western Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Western. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Western Copper's price trends.

Western Copper Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Western Copper stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Western Copper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Western Copper by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Western Copper Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Western Copper's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Western Copper's current price.

Western Copper Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Western Copper stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Western Copper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Western Copper stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Western Copper and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Western Copper Risk Indicators

The analysis of Western Copper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Western Copper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting western stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Western Stock

When determining whether Western Copper offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Western Copper's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Western Copper And Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Western Copper And Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Western Copper to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Western Copper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Western Copper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Western Copper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.