BP Plastics Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

5100 Stock   1.21  0.02  1.63%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BP Plastics Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 1.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.81. 5100 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for BP Plastics is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

BP Plastics Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BP Plastics Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 1.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 5100 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BP Plastics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BP Plastics Stock Forecast Pattern

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BP Plastics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BP Plastics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BP Plastics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 2.45, respectively. We have considered BP Plastics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.21
1.21
Expected Value
2.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BP Plastics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BP Plastics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.2797
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0014
MADMean absolute deviation0.0137
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0111
SAESum of the absolute errors0.81
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of BP Plastics Holding price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of BP Plastics. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for BP Plastics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BP Plastics Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.212.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.032.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BP Plastics

For every potential investor in 5100, whether a beginner or expert, BP Plastics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 5100 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 5100. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BP Plastics' price trends.

BP Plastics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BP Plastics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BP Plastics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BP Plastics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BP Plastics Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BP Plastics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BP Plastics' current price.

BP Plastics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BP Plastics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BP Plastics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BP Plastics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BP Plastics Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BP Plastics Risk Indicators

The analysis of BP Plastics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BP Plastics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 5100 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 5100 Stock

BP Plastics financial ratios help investors to determine whether 5100 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 5100 with respect to the benefits of owning BP Plastics security.