Hwabao WP Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 515000 Etf | 1.32 0.03 2.33% |
Hwabao |
Hwabao WP Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hwabao WP CSI on the next trading day is expected to be 1.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hwabao Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hwabao WP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hwabao WP Etf Forecast Pattern
Hwabao WP Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hwabao WP's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hwabao WP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.24, respectively. We have considered Hwabao WP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hwabao WP etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hwabao WP etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.3219 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0424 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0358 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.5836 |
Predictive Modules for Hwabao WP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hwabao WP CSI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Hwabao WP
For every potential investor in Hwabao, whether a beginner or expert, Hwabao WP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hwabao Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hwabao. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hwabao WP's price trends.Hwabao WP Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hwabao WP etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hwabao WP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hwabao WP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hwabao WP CSI Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hwabao WP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hwabao WP's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hwabao WP Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hwabao WP etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hwabao WP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hwabao WP etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Hwabao WP CSI entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hwabao WP Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hwabao WP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hwabao WP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hwabao etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Variance | 8.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.63 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.