FRACTAL GAMING Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

5HS Stock  EUR 2.70  0.04  1.46%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FRACTAL GAMING GROUP on the next trading day is expected to be 2.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.78. FRACTAL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FRACTAL GAMING's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for FRACTAL GAMING GROUP is based on a synthetically constructed FRACTAL GAMINGdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

FRACTAL GAMING 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FRACTAL GAMING GROUP on the next trading day is expected to be 2.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FRACTAL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FRACTAL GAMING's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FRACTAL GAMING Stock Forecast Pattern

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FRACTAL GAMING Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FRACTAL GAMING's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FRACTAL GAMING's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.39 and 4.26, respectively. We have considered FRACTAL GAMING's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.70
2.83
Expected Value
4.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FRACTAL GAMING stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FRACTAL GAMING stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria76.3103
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0434
MADMean absolute deviation0.0678
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0237
SAESum of the absolute errors2.781
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. FRACTAL GAMING GROUP 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for FRACTAL GAMING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FRACTAL GAMING GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.262.704.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.362.794.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for FRACTAL GAMING

For every potential investor in FRACTAL, whether a beginner or expert, FRACTAL GAMING's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FRACTAL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FRACTAL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FRACTAL GAMING's price trends.

FRACTAL GAMING Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FRACTAL GAMING stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FRACTAL GAMING could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FRACTAL GAMING by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FRACTAL GAMING GROUP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FRACTAL GAMING's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FRACTAL GAMING's current price.

FRACTAL GAMING Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FRACTAL GAMING stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FRACTAL GAMING shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FRACTAL GAMING stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FRACTAL GAMING GROUP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FRACTAL GAMING Risk Indicators

The analysis of FRACTAL GAMING's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FRACTAL GAMING's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fractal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in FRACTAL Stock

FRACTAL GAMING financial ratios help investors to determine whether FRACTAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FRACTAL with respect to the benefits of owning FRACTAL GAMING security.