Grinm Advanced Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

600206 Stock   20.43  0.41  1.97%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Grinm Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 18.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.75. Grinm Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Grinm Advanced stock prices and determine the direction of Grinm Advanced Materials's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Grinm Advanced's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Grinm Advanced's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 1.8 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 16.6 M.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Grinm Advanced Materials is based on a synthetically constructed Grinm Advanceddaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Grinm Advanced 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Grinm Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 18.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.92, mean absolute percentage error of 16.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grinm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grinm Advanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grinm Advanced Stock Forecast Pattern

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Grinm Advanced Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Grinm Advanced's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grinm Advanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.77 and 23.88, respectively. We have considered Grinm Advanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.43
18.82
Expected Value
23.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grinm Advanced stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grinm Advanced stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria85.9656
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.9227
MADMean absolute deviation2.9227
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.168
SAESum of the absolute errors122.7515
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Grinm Advanced Materials 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Grinm Advanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grinm Advanced Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1919.2424.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8615.9120.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
7.8317.2226.61
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.080.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Grinm Advanced

For every potential investor in Grinm, whether a beginner or expert, Grinm Advanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grinm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grinm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grinm Advanced's price trends.

Grinm Advanced Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grinm Advanced stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grinm Advanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grinm Advanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grinm Advanced Materials Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Grinm Advanced's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Grinm Advanced's current price.

Grinm Advanced Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grinm Advanced stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grinm Advanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grinm Advanced stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grinm Advanced Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Grinm Advanced Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grinm Advanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grinm Advanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grinm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Grinm Stock

Grinm Advanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grinm Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grinm with respect to the benefits of owning Grinm Advanced security.