CSSC Offshore Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

600685 Stock   24.61  0.77  3.03%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CSSC Offshore Marine on the next trading day is expected to be 24.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.46. CSSC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CSSC Offshore stock prices and determine the direction of CSSC Offshore Marine's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CSSC Offshore's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, CSSC Offshore's Other Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Long Term Debt is expected to grow to about 3.9 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 37.3 B.
A two period moving average forecast for CSSC Offshore is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

CSSC Offshore Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CSSC Offshore Marine on the next trading day is expected to be 24.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CSSC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CSSC Offshore's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CSSC Offshore Stock Forecast Pattern

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CSSC Offshore Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CSSC Offshore's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CSSC Offshore's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.72 and 27.50, respectively. We have considered CSSC Offshore's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.61
24.61
Expected Value
27.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CSSC Offshore stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CSSC Offshore stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.765
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0281
MADMean absolute deviation0.5909
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0233
SAESum of the absolute errors35.455
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of CSSC Offshore Marine price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CSSC Offshore. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for CSSC Offshore

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSSC Offshore Marine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7224.6127.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.1221.0127.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.4925.9527.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CSSC Offshore. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CSSC Offshore's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CSSC Offshore's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CSSC Offshore Marine.

Other Forecasting Options for CSSC Offshore

For every potential investor in CSSC, whether a beginner or expert, CSSC Offshore's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CSSC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CSSC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CSSC Offshore's price trends.

CSSC Offshore Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CSSC Offshore stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CSSC Offshore could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CSSC Offshore by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CSSC Offshore Marine Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CSSC Offshore's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CSSC Offshore's current price.

CSSC Offshore Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CSSC Offshore stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CSSC Offshore shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CSSC Offshore stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CSSC Offshore Marine entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CSSC Offshore Risk Indicators

The analysis of CSSC Offshore's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CSSC Offshore's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cssc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in CSSC Stock

CSSC Offshore financial ratios help investors to determine whether CSSC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CSSC with respect to the benefits of owning CSSC Offshore security.