China Marine Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

600764 Stock   26.75  0.84  3.24%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of China Marine Information on the next trading day is expected to be 25.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.72. China Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast China Marine stock prices and determine the direction of China Marine Information's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Marine's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, China Marine's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 3.7 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 113.1 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through China Marine price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

China Marine Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of China Marine Information on the next trading day is expected to be 25.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.16, mean absolute percentage error of 1.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Marine's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Marine Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Marine stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Marine stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.55
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1568
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0417
SAESum of the absolute errors71.7192
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as China Marine Information historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for China Marine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Marine Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5826.7429.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8623.0229.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
23.9426.8529.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.210.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Marine. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Marine's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Marine's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Marine Information.

China Marine Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Marine stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Marine could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Marine by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Marine Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Marine stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Marine shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Marine stock market strength indicators, traders can identify China Marine Information entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

China Marine Risk Indicators

The analysis of China Marine's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Marine's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Marine financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Marine security.