Jingjin Environmental Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

603279 Stock   18.60  0.11  0.59%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jingjin Environmental Protection on the next trading day is expected to be 18.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.67. Jingjin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jingjin Environmental stock prices and determine the direction of Jingjin Environmental Protection's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jingjin Environmental's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Jingjin Environmental's Other Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Assets is expected to grow to about 313.5 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 5.7 B.
A two period moving average forecast for Jingjin Environmental is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Jingjin Environmental Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jingjin Environmental Protection on the next trading day is expected to be 18.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jingjin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jingjin Environmental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jingjin Environmental Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jingjin Environmental Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jingjin Environmental's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jingjin Environmental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.80 and 21.40, respectively. We have considered Jingjin Environmental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.60
18.60
Expected Value
21.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jingjin Environmental stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jingjin Environmental stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.3185
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0443
MADMean absolute deviation0.4445
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0235
SAESum of the absolute errors26.67
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Jingjin Environmental Protection price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Jingjin Environmental. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Jingjin Environmental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jingjin Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7918.5921.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8615.6620.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.0018.9619.91
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.430.450.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jingjin Environmental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jingjin Environmental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jingjin Environmental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jingjin Environmental.

Other Forecasting Options for Jingjin Environmental

For every potential investor in Jingjin, whether a beginner or expert, Jingjin Environmental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jingjin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jingjin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jingjin Environmental's price trends.

Jingjin Environmental Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jingjin Environmental stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jingjin Environmental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jingjin Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jingjin Environmental Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jingjin Environmental's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jingjin Environmental's current price.

Jingjin Environmental Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jingjin Environmental stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jingjin Environmental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jingjin Environmental stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jingjin Environmental Protection entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jingjin Environmental Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jingjin Environmental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jingjin Environmental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jingjin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Jingjin Stock

Jingjin Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jingjin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jingjin with respect to the benefits of owning Jingjin Environmental security.