Shanghai Yanpu Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

605128 Stock   33.55  0.88  2.56%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Shanghai Yanpu Metal on the next trading day is expected to be 31.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.67. Shanghai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shanghai Yanpu stock prices and determine the direction of Shanghai Yanpu Metal's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shanghai Yanpu's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Shanghai Yanpu's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Property Plant And Equipment Net is expected to grow to about 726.2 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.4 B.
Shanghai Yanpu polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Shanghai Yanpu Metal as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Shanghai Yanpu Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Shanghai Yanpu Metal on the next trading day is expected to be 31.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 2.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanghai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanghai Yanpu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shanghai Yanpu Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shanghai Yanpu Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shanghai Yanpu's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shanghai Yanpu's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.38 and 34.74, respectively. We have considered Shanghai Yanpu's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.55
31.56
Expected Value
34.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanghai Yanpu stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanghai Yanpu stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9991
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1257
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0363
SAESum of the absolute errors68.6659
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Shanghai Yanpu historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Shanghai Yanpu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Yanpu Metal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.6033.8137.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.0134.2237.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.6435.6239.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.340.370.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shanghai Yanpu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shanghai Yanpu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shanghai Yanpu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shanghai Yanpu Metal.

Other Forecasting Options for Shanghai Yanpu

For every potential investor in Shanghai, whether a beginner or expert, Shanghai Yanpu's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shanghai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shanghai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shanghai Yanpu's price trends.

Shanghai Yanpu Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanghai Yanpu stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanghai Yanpu could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanghai Yanpu by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shanghai Yanpu Metal Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shanghai Yanpu's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shanghai Yanpu's current price.

Shanghai Yanpu Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanghai Yanpu stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanghai Yanpu shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanghai Yanpu stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanghai Yanpu Metal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shanghai Yanpu Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shanghai Yanpu's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shanghai Yanpu's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shanghai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai Yanpu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Yanpu security.