IRay Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

688301 Stock   116.11  4.12  3.68%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of iRay Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 116.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 283.66. IRay Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IRay Technology stock prices and determine the direction of iRay Technology Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IRay Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, IRay Technology's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 1.4 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 4.5 B.
A two period moving average forecast for IRay Technology is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

IRay Technology Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of iRay Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 116.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.81, mean absolute percentage error of 53.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 283.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IRay Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IRay Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IRay Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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IRay Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IRay Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IRay Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 111.00 and 121.22, respectively. We have considered IRay Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
116.11
111.00
Downside
116.11
Expected Value
121.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IRay Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IRay Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4179
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6194
MADMean absolute deviation4.8077
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0416
SAESum of the absolute errors283.655
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of iRay Technology Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of IRay Technology. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for IRay Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iRay Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.44113.59118.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.3897.53127.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
108.77113.26117.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for IRay Technology

For every potential investor in IRay, whether a beginner or expert, IRay Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IRay Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IRay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IRay Technology's price trends.

IRay Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IRay Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IRay Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IRay Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

iRay Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IRay Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IRay Technology's current price.

IRay Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IRay Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IRay Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IRay Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify iRay Technology Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IRay Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of IRay Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IRay Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iray stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in IRay Stock

IRay Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether IRay Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IRay with respect to the benefits of owning IRay Technology security.