ATLAND SA Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

8L9 Stock  EUR 41.60  0.40  0.97%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ATLAND SA INH on the next trading day is expected to be 41.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.93. ATLAND Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ATLAND SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for ATLAND SA - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When ATLAND SA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in ATLAND SA price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of ATLAND SA INH.

ATLAND SA Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ATLAND SA INH on the next trading day is expected to be 41.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ATLAND Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ATLAND SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ATLAND SA Stock Forecast Pattern

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ATLAND SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ATLAND SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ATLAND SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.99 and 43.17, respectively. We have considered ATLAND SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
41.60
41.58
Expected Value
43.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ATLAND SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ATLAND SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0109
MADMean absolute deviation0.4394
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0103
SAESum of the absolute errors25.9266
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past ATLAND SA observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older ATLAND SA INH observations.

Predictive Modules for ATLAND SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATLAND SA INH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.0141.6043.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.7735.3645.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ATLAND SA

For every potential investor in ATLAND, whether a beginner or expert, ATLAND SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ATLAND Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ATLAND. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ATLAND SA's price trends.

ATLAND SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ATLAND SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ATLAND SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ATLAND SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ATLAND SA INH Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ATLAND SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ATLAND SA's current price.

ATLAND SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ATLAND SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ATLAND SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ATLAND SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ATLAND SA INH entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ATLAND SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of ATLAND SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ATLAND SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in ATLAND Stock

ATLAND SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether ATLAND Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ATLAND with respect to the benefits of owning ATLAND SA security.