Access Bio Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

950130 Stock  KRW 5,570  10.00  0.18%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Access Bio on the next trading day is expected to be 5,498 with a mean absolute deviation of 173.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10,612. Access Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Access Bio stock prices and determine the direction of Access Bio's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Access Bio's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Access Bio price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Access Bio Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Access Bio on the next trading day is expected to be 5,498 with a mean absolute deviation of 173.97, mean absolute percentage error of 60,479, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10,612.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Access Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Access Bio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Access Bio Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Access BioAccess Bio Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Access Bio Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Access Bio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Access Bio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5,496 and 5,500, respectively. We have considered Access Bio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5,570
5,498
Expected Value
5,500
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Access Bio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Access Bio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria129.1206
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation173.972
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0269
SAESum of the absolute errors10612.2898
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Access Bio historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Access Bio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Access Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,5685,5705,572
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,1575,1606,127
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
5,3976,0006,603
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Access Bio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Access Bio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Access Bio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Access Bio.

Other Forecasting Options for Access Bio

For every potential investor in Access, whether a beginner or expert, Access Bio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Access Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Access. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Access Bio's price trends.

Access Bio Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Access Bio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Access Bio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Access Bio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Access Bio Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Access Bio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Access Bio's current price.

Access Bio Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Access Bio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Access Bio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Access Bio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Access Bio entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Access Bio Risk Indicators

The analysis of Access Bio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Access Bio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting access stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Access Bio

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Access Bio position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Access Bio will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Access Stock

  0.83205470 HumasisPairCorr
  0.64263690 DRGEMPairCorr

Moving against Access Stock

  0.55032830 Samsung LifePairCorr
  0.47024110 Industrial BankPairCorr
  0.35105560 KB Financial GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Access Bio could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Access Bio when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Access Bio - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Access Bio to buy it.
The correlation of Access Bio is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Access Bio moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Access Bio moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Access Bio can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Access Stock

Access Bio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Access Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Access with respect to the benefits of owning Access Bio security.