Softlogic Life Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

AAICN0000   62.10  2.90  4.90%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Softlogic Life Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 61.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.83. Softlogic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Softlogic Life stock prices and determine the direction of Softlogic Life Insurance's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Softlogic Life's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Softlogic Life Insurance is based on a synthetically constructed Softlogic Lifedaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Softlogic Life 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Softlogic Life Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 61.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31, mean absolute percentage error of 2.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Softlogic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Softlogic Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Softlogic Life Stock Forecast Pattern

Softlogic Life Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Softlogic Life's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Softlogic Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.29 and 62.78, respectively. We have considered Softlogic Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
62.10
61.03
Expected Value
62.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Softlogic Life stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Softlogic Life stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.3507
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.7974
MADMean absolute deviation1.313
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0216
SAESum of the absolute errors53.835
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Softlogic Life Insurance 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Softlogic Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Softlogic Life Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.3662.1063.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.7960.5262.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Softlogic Life

For every potential investor in Softlogic, whether a beginner or expert, Softlogic Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Softlogic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Softlogic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Softlogic Life's price trends.

Softlogic Life Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Softlogic Life stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Softlogic Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Softlogic Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Softlogic Life Insurance Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Softlogic Life's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Softlogic Life's current price.

Softlogic Life Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Softlogic Life stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Softlogic Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Softlogic Life stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Softlogic Life Insurance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Softlogic Life Risk Indicators

The analysis of Softlogic Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Softlogic Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting softlogic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Softlogic Stock

Softlogic Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether Softlogic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Softlogic with respect to the benefits of owning Softlogic Life security.