Americafirst Monthly Mutual Fund Forward View
| ABRUXDelisted Fund | USD 14.84 0.00 0.00% |
AmericaFirst Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Americafirst Monthly's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Americafirst Monthly hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americafirst Monthly Risk On from the perspective of Americafirst Monthly response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Americafirst Monthly Risk On on the next trading day is expected to be 14.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.12. Americafirst Monthly after-hype prediction price | USD 14.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AmericaFirst |
Americafirst Monthly Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AmericaFirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AmericaFirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze AmericaFirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Americafirst Monthly Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Americafirst Monthly Risk On on the next trading day is expected to be 14.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AmericaFirst Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Americafirst Monthly's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Americafirst Monthly Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Americafirst Monthly | Americafirst Monthly Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Americafirst Monthly mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Americafirst Monthly mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7335 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0512 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0034 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.1243 |
Predictive Modules for Americafirst Monthly
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Americafirst Monthly. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Americafirst Monthly's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Americafirst Monthly After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Americafirst Monthly at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americafirst Monthly or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Americafirst Monthly, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Americafirst Monthly Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Americafirst Monthly's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americafirst Monthly's historical news coverage. Americafirst Monthly's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.84 and 14.84, respectively. We have considered Americafirst Monthly's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Americafirst Monthly is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americafirst Monthly is based on 3 months time horizon.
Americafirst Monthly Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Americafirst Monthly is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americafirst Monthly backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americafirst Monthly, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.84 | 14.84 | 0.00 |
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Americafirst Monthly Hype Timeline
Americafirst Monthly is presently traded for 14.84. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AmericaFirst is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Americafirst Monthly is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.84. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Americafirst Monthly had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.Americafirst Monthly Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Americafirst Monthly's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americafirst Monthly's future price movements. Getting to know how Americafirst Monthly's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americafirst Monthly may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMFFX | American Mutual Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.42 | 0.11 | 0.91 | (1.03) | 7.65 | |
| DOXGX | Dodge Cox Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | 0.03 | 1.39 | (0.98) | 3.64 | |
| TFCCX | Touchstone Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.42 | 0.14 | 1.29 | (0.96) | 5.20 | |
| VAAGX | Virtus Nfj Large Cap | (17.56) | 2 per month | 0.59 | 0.09 | 1.73 | (1.44) | 11.75 | |
| DLCIX | Dana Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.41 | 0.1 | 1.29 | (1.24) | 23.01 | |
| TWQZX | Transamerica Large Cap | (0.07) | 3 per month | 0.44 | 0.16 | 1.31 | (1.13) | 3.68 | |
| CBLSX | Cb Large Cap | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1.54 | (0.97) | 14.41 | |
| LMISX | Qs Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | (0) | 1.57 | (1.32) | 4.93 |
Americafirst Monthly Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Americafirst Monthly mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Americafirst Monthly could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Americafirst Monthly by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Americafirst Monthly Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Americafirst Monthly mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Americafirst Monthly shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Americafirst Monthly mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Americafirst Monthly Risk On entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Americafirst Monthly Risk Indicators
The analysis of Americafirst Monthly's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Americafirst Monthly's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting americafirst mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2342 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2474 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4141 | |||
| Variance | 0.1715 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3611 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0612 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Americafirst Monthly
The number of cover stories for Americafirst Monthly depends on current market conditions and Americafirst Monthly's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americafirst Monthly is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americafirst Monthly's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Other Consideration for investing in AmericaFirst Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Americafirst Monthly check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Americafirst Monthly's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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