Aberdeen Asset Stock Forward View

ADNDelisted Stock  USD 0.42  0.01  2.33%   
Aberdeen Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Aberdeen Asset's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aberdeen Asset's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aberdeen Asset Management, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Aberdeen Asset hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aberdeen Asset Management from the perspective of Aberdeen Asset response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aberdeen Asset Management on the next trading day is expected to be 0.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.55.

Aberdeen Asset after-hype prediction price

    
  GBP 0.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Aberdeen Asset Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aberdeen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aberdeen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aberdeen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Aberdeen Asset is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Aberdeen Asset Management value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Aberdeen Asset Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aberdeen Asset Management on the next trading day is expected to be 0.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aberdeen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aberdeen Asset's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aberdeen Asset Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Aberdeen Asset  Aberdeen Asset Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aberdeen Asset stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aberdeen Asset stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.6896
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2057
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2402
SAESum of the absolute errors12.5457
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Aberdeen Asset Management. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Aberdeen Asset. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Asset Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aberdeen Asset's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.469.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.408.96
Details

Aberdeen Asset After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aberdeen Asset at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aberdeen Asset or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aberdeen Asset, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aberdeen Asset Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aberdeen Asset's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aberdeen Asset's historical news coverage. Aberdeen Asset's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 9.02, respectively. We have considered Aberdeen Asset's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.42
0.46
After-hype Price
9.02
Upside
Aberdeen Asset is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aberdeen Asset Management is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aberdeen Asset Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aberdeen Asset is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aberdeen Asset backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aberdeen Asset, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.52 
8.56
  0.04 
  0.01 
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.42
0.46
9.52 
12,229  
Notes

Aberdeen Asset Hype Timeline

Aberdeen Asset Management is presently traded for 0.42on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Aberdeen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 9.52%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Aberdeen Asset is about 30816.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.43. The company has Return on Asset of (1.3379) % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it lost $1.3379. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of (10.2166) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Aberdeen Asset's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Aberdeen Asset manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Aberdeen Asset Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aberdeen Asset's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aberdeen Asset's future price movements. Getting to know how Aberdeen Asset's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aberdeen Asset may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Aberdeen Asset Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aberdeen Asset stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aberdeen Asset could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aberdeen Asset by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aberdeen Asset Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aberdeen Asset stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aberdeen Asset shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aberdeen Asset stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aberdeen Asset Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aberdeen Asset Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aberdeen Asset's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aberdeen Asset's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aberdeen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Aberdeen Asset

The number of cover stories for Aberdeen Asset depends on current market conditions and Aberdeen Asset's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aberdeen Asset is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aberdeen Asset's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Aberdeen Asset Short Properties

Aberdeen Asset's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aberdeen Asset's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aberdeen Asset Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aberdeen Asset's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aberdeen Asset's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments381 K
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

Other Consideration for investing in Aberdeen Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Aberdeen Asset Management check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Aberdeen Asset's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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