Adams Resources Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AEDelisted Stock | USD 37.98 0.01 0.03% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Adams Resources Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 37.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.32. Adams Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Adams Resources stock prices and determine the direction of Adams Resources Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Adams Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Adams Resources' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Adams Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Adams Resources Energy from the perspective of Adams Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Adams Resources Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 37.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.32. Adams Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 37.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Adams |
Adams Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Adams price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Adams using various technical indicators. When you analyze Adams charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Adams Resources Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Adams Resources Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 37.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 1.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Adams Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Adams Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Adams Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Adams Resources | Adams Resources Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Adams Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Adams Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7443 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1693 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.272 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0077 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.32 |
Predictive Modules for Adams Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adams Resources Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adams Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Adams Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Adams Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Adams Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Adams Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Adams Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Adams Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Adams Resources' historical news coverage. Adams Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.98 and 37.98, respectively. We have considered Adams Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Adams Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Adams Resources Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Adams Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Adams Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Adams Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Adams Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.98 | 37.98 | 0.00 |
|
Adams Resources Hype Timeline
As of January 25, 2026 Adams Resources Energy is listed for 37.98. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Adams is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Adams Resources is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.98. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Adams Resources Energy has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 174.35. The entity recorded a loss per share of 3.18. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2024. Adams Resources had 1:2 split on the 10th of February 1992. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.Adams Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Adams Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Adams Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Adams Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Adams Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GFGY | Granite Falls Energy | (1.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.25 | |
| VKIN | Viking Energy Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VTNR | Vertex Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LNKE | Link Energy LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QREE | Quantum Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.92 | |
| TWMIF | Tidewater Midstream and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | 0.03 | 4.52 | (3.57) | 12.33 | |
| ABLE | Able Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| USWS | US Well Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| REGX | Red Trail Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JYOGF | Jersey Oil and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.08) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.67 |
Adams Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Adams Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Adams Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adams Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Adams Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Adams Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Adams Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Adams Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Adams Resources Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Adams Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Adams Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Adams Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting adams stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.47 | |||
| Variance | 19.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.11) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Adams Resources
The number of cover stories for Adams Resources depends on current market conditions and Adams Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Adams Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Adams Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Adams Resources Short Properties
Adams Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Adams Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Adams Resources Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Adams Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adams Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.3 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in Adams Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Adams Resources Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Adams Resources' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. |