Atlantic Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

AESO Stock  USD 0.02  0  32.35%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Atlantic Energy Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.10. Atlantic Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Atlantic Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Atlantic Energy Solutions value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Atlantic Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Atlantic Energy Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000465, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atlantic Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atlantic Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Atlantic Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Atlantic EnergyAtlantic Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Atlantic Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Atlantic Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atlantic Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 19.42, respectively. We have considered Atlantic Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
19.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atlantic Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atlantic Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.8309
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0017
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1205
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1016
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Atlantic Energy Solutions. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Atlantic Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Atlantic Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlantic Energy Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlantic Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0219.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0119.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Atlantic Energy

For every potential investor in Atlantic, whether a beginner or expert, Atlantic Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atlantic Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atlantic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atlantic Energy's price trends.

Atlantic Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atlantic Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atlantic Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atlantic Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Atlantic Energy Solutions Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Atlantic Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Atlantic Energy's current price.

Atlantic Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atlantic Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atlantic Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atlantic Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Atlantic Energy Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Atlantic Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Atlantic Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atlantic Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlantic pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Atlantic Energy

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Atlantic Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Atlantic Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Atlantic Pink Sheet

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Atlantic Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Atlantic Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Atlantic Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Atlantic Energy Solutions to buy it.
The correlation of Atlantic Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Atlantic Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Atlantic Energy Solutions moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Atlantic Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Atlantic Pink Sheet

Atlantic Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atlantic Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atlantic with respect to the benefits of owning Atlantic Energy security.