Americafirst Income Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AFPAXDelisted Fund | USD 4.15 0.00 0.00% |
Americafirst Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Americafirst Income's share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Americafirst Income, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Americafirst Income hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americafirst Income Fund from the perspective of Americafirst Income response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Americafirst Income Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 4.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.62. Americafirst Income after-hype prediction price | USD 4.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Americafirst |
Americafirst Income Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Americafirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Americafirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Americafirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Americafirst Income Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Americafirst Income Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 4.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Americafirst Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Americafirst Income's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Americafirst Income Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Americafirst Income | Americafirst Income Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Americafirst Income mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Americafirst Income mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.3684 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0017 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0103 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0025 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.6179 |
Predictive Modules for Americafirst Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Americafirst Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Americafirst Income After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Americafirst Income at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americafirst Income or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Americafirst Income, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Americafirst Income Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Americafirst Income's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americafirst Income's historical news coverage. Americafirst Income's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.15 and 4.15, respectively. We have considered Americafirst Income's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Americafirst Income is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americafirst Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
Americafirst Income Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Americafirst Income is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americafirst Income backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americafirst Income, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.15 | 4.15 | 0.00 |
|
Americafirst Income Hype Timeline
Americafirst Income is presently traded for 4.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Americafirst is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Americafirst Income is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.15. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.Americafirst Income Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Americafirst Income's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americafirst Income's future price movements. Getting to know how Americafirst Income's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americafirst Income may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RLESX | Us Small Cap | 3.12 | 3 per month | 0.68 | 0.12 | 2.14 | (1.46) | 5.30 | |
| PMDDX | Small Midcap Dividend Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.41 | 0.17 | 2.34 | (1.32) | 4.04 | |
| GMAWX | Gmo Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | 0.09 | 2.25 | (1.44) | 4.31 | |
| LMBMX | Qs Small Capitalization | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.13 | 2.19 | (1.80) | 7.52 | |
| TEMGX | Templeton Global Smaller | 0.11 | 1 per month | 0.51 | 0.10 | 1.59 | (0.99) | 3.47 | |
| KSCYX | Kinetics Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.14 | 3.75 | (2.27) | 6.62 |
Americafirst Income Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Americafirst Income mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Americafirst Income could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Americafirst Income by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Americafirst Income Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Americafirst Income mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Americafirst Income shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Americafirst Income mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Americafirst Income Fund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Americafirst Income Risk Indicators
The analysis of Americafirst Income's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Americafirst Income's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting americafirst mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3093 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3038 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4886 | |||
| Variance | 0.2388 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7221 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0923 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.66) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Americafirst Income
The number of cover stories for Americafirst Income depends on current market conditions and Americafirst Income's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americafirst Income is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americafirst Income's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Other Consideration for investing in Americafirst Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Americafirst Income check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Americafirst Income's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device |