ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

AGA Stock   37.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI LIMITED on the next trading day is expected to be 37.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's stock prices and determine the direction of ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI LIMITED's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
A two period moving average forecast for ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI LIMITED on the next trading day is expected to be 37.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ANGLOGOLD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI Stock Forecast Pattern

ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.00 and 37.00, respectively. We have considered ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.00
37.00
Expected Value
37.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI LIMITED price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI.

Other Forecasting Options for ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI

For every potential investor in ANGLOGOLD, whether a beginner or expert, ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ANGLOGOLD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ANGLOGOLD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's price trends.

ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI's current price.

ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI LIMITED entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.