AGTech Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

AGTEF Stock  USD 0.02  0  17.86%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AGTech Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.26. AGTech Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AGTech Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for AGTech Holdings is based on an artificially constructed time series of AGTech Holdings daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

AGTech Holdings 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AGTech Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000067, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AGTech Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AGTech Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AGTech Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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AGTech Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AGTech Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AGTech Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 29.30, respectively. We have considered AGTech Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
29.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AGTech Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AGTech Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria93.8003
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 4.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0049
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2837
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2619
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. AGTech Holdings Limited 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for AGTech Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AGTech Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AGTech Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0229.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0229.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for AGTech Holdings

For every potential investor in AGTech, whether a beginner or expert, AGTech Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AGTech Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AGTech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AGTech Holdings' price trends.

AGTech Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AGTech Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AGTech Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AGTech Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AGTech Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AGTech Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AGTech Holdings' current price.

AGTech Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AGTech Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AGTech Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AGTech Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify AGTech Holdings Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AGTech Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of AGTech Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AGTech Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting agtech pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in AGTech Pink Sheet

AGTech Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether AGTech Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AGTech with respect to the benefits of owning AGTech Holdings security.