Aspire Mining Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

AKM Stock   0.29  0.01  3.33%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aspire Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49. Aspire Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Aspire Mining's Intangible Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Cash And Equivalents is likely to gain to about 13.4 M in 2024, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is likely to drop slightly above 45.4 M in 2024.
Aspire Mining simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Aspire Mining are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Aspire Mining prices get older.

Aspire Mining Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aspire Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aspire Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aspire Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aspire Mining Stock Forecast Pattern

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Aspire Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Aspire Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aspire Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.94, respectively. We have considered Aspire Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.29
0.30
Expected Value
4.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aspire Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aspire Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.3374
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 5.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0082
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0276
SAESum of the absolute errors0.49
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Aspire Mining forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Aspire Mining observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Aspire Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aspire Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.294.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.254.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Aspire Mining

For every potential investor in Aspire, whether a beginner or expert, Aspire Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aspire Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aspire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aspire Mining's price trends.

Aspire Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aspire Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aspire Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aspire Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aspire Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aspire Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aspire Mining's current price.

Aspire Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aspire Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aspire Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aspire Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aspire Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aspire Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aspire Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aspire Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aspire stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Aspire Stock Analysis

When running Aspire Mining's price analysis, check to measure Aspire Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aspire Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Aspire Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aspire Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aspire Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aspire Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.