Akero Therapeutics Stock Forward View

AKRODelisted Stock  USD 54.65  0.00  0.00%   
Akero Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Akero Therapeutics' share price is above 70 as of today. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Akero, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 73

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Akero Therapeutics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Akero Therapeutics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Akero Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Akero Therapeutics from the perspective of Akero Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Akero Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 54.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.98.

Akero Therapeutics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 54.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.

Akero Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Akero price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Akero using various technical indicators. When you analyze Akero charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Akero Therapeutics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Akero Therapeutics value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Akero Therapeutics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Akero Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 54.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Akero Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Akero Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Akero Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Akero Therapeutics  Akero Therapeutics Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Akero Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Akero Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7152
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8357
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0171
SAESum of the absolute errors50.9787
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Akero Therapeutics. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Akero Therapeutics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Akero Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akero Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.4954.6454.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.6643.8160.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
53.9854.3754.76
Details

Akero Therapeutics After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Akero Therapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Akero Therapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Akero Therapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Akero Therapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Akero Therapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Akero Therapeutics' historical news coverage. Akero Therapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.49 and 54.79, respectively. We have considered Akero Therapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
54.65
54.64
After-hype Price
54.79
Upside
Akero Therapeutics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Akero Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Akero Therapeutics Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Akero Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Akero Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Akero Therapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
0.15
  0.01 
 0.00  
4 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
54.65
54.64
0.02 
60.00  
Notes

Akero Therapeutics Hype Timeline

Akero Therapeutics is presently traded for 54.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Akero is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 54.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 60.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Akero Therapeutics is about 1000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 54.65. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Akero Therapeutics was presently reported as 11.95. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.93. Akero Therapeutics recorded a loss per share of 3.75. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.

Akero Therapeutics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Akero Therapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Akero Therapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how Akero Therapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Akero Therapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KYMRKymera Therapeutics 2.80 10 per month 2.67  0.06  4.40 (4.46) 49.42 
VKTXViking Therapeutics 0.64 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.49 (5.49) 19.06 
IMVTImmunovant 0.07 9 per month 2.21  0.09  4.47 (3.63) 20.44 
CRNXCrinetics Pharmaceuticals 2.10 9 per month 2.45  0.06  3.94 (4.63) 19.30 
NAMSNewAmsterdam Pharma(2.24)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.72 (4.89) 15.37 
PRAXPraxis Precision Medicines(3.51)10 per month 3.90  0.15  9.33 (6.06) 36.21 
ACLXArcellx(1.05)9 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.75 (4.57) 22.18 
SLNOSoleno Therapeutics 0.95 11 per month 0.00 (0.17) 5.16 (4.91) 28.47 
CNTACentessa Pharmaceuticals PLC(0.05)9 per month 2.67  0.01  4.97 (4.08) 26.54 
ACADACADIA Pharmaceuticals 0.44 10 per month 1.51  0.06  3.31 (2.46) 9.79 

Akero Therapeutics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Akero Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Akero Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Akero Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Akero Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Akero Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Akero Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Akero Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Akero Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Akero Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Akero Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Akero Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting akero stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Akero Therapeutics

The number of cover stories for Akero Therapeutics depends on current market conditions and Akero Therapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Akero Therapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Akero Therapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Akero Therapeutics Short Properties

Akero Therapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Akero Therapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Akero Therapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Akero Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akero Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments743.1 M
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Akero Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Akero Therapeutics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Akero Therapeutics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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