Akre Focus Mutual Fund Forward View
| AKRSXDelisted Fund | USD 66.77 0.00 0.00% |
Akre Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Akre Focus' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Akre Focus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Akre Focus Fund from the perspective of Akre Focus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Akre Focus Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 68.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.82. Akre Focus after-hype prediction price | USD 66.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Akre |
Akre Focus Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Akre price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Akre using various technical indicators. When you analyze Akre charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Akre Focus Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Akre Focus Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 68.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Akre Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Akre Focus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Akre Focus Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Akre Focus | Akre Focus Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Akre Focus mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Akre Focus mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0772 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4724 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0067 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.8189 |
Predictive Modules for Akre Focus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akre Focus Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Akre Focus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Akre Focus After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Akre Focus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Akre Focus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Akre Focus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Akre Focus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Akre Focus' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Akre Focus' historical news coverage. Akre Focus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.77 and 66.77, respectively. We have considered Akre Focus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Akre Focus is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Akre Focus Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.
Akre Focus Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Akre Focus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Akre Focus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Akre Focus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
66.77 | 66.77 | 0.00 |
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Akre Focus Hype Timeline
Akre Focus Fund is presently traded for 66.77. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Akre is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Akre Focus is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.77. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.Akre Focus Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Akre Focus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Akre Focus' future price movements. Getting to know how Akre Focus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Akre Focus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMGIX | Columbia Trarian Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.02 | 1.45 | (1.38) | 9.48 | |
| CBALX | Columbia Balanced Fund | (29.01) | 1 per month | 0.42 | (0.02) | 0.96 | (0.76) | 5.94 | |
| FAIOX | Fidelity Advisor Balanced | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VTXVX | Vanguard Target Retirement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JMIVX | Perkins Mid Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CTCAX | Columbia Global Technology | 0.51 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.88 | (2.68) | 6.21 | |
| FLCEX | Fidelity Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRPLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Akre Focus Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Akre Focus mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Akre Focus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Akre Focus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Akre Focus Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Akre Focus mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Akre Focus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Akre Focus mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Akre Focus Fund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Akre Focus
The number of cover stories for Akre Focus depends on current market conditions and Akre Focus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Akre Focus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Akre Focus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Other Consideration for investing in Akre Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Akre Focus Fund check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Akre Focus' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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