Alibaba Health Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

ALBHF Stock  USD 0.48  0.05  9.43%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Alibaba Health Information on the next trading day is expected to be 0.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.28. Alibaba Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alibaba Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Alibaba Health is based on an artificially constructed time series of Alibaba Health daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Alibaba Health 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Alibaba Health Information on the next trading day is expected to be 0.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alibaba Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alibaba Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alibaba Health Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Alibaba Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alibaba Health's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alibaba Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.84, respectively. We have considered Alibaba Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.48
0.52
Expected Value
8.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alibaba Health pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alibaba Health pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.4143
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0118
MADMean absolute deviation0.0607
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1111
SAESum of the absolute errors3.28
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Alibaba Health Information 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Alibaba Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alibaba Health Infor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.488.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.438.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alibaba Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alibaba Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alibaba Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Alibaba Health Infor.

Other Forecasting Options for Alibaba Health

For every potential investor in Alibaba, whether a beginner or expert, Alibaba Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alibaba Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alibaba. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alibaba Health's price trends.

Alibaba Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alibaba Health pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alibaba Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alibaba Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alibaba Health Infor Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alibaba Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alibaba Health's current price.

Alibaba Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alibaba Health pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alibaba Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alibaba Health pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Alibaba Health Information entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alibaba Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alibaba Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alibaba Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alibaba pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Alibaba Pink Sheet

Alibaba Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alibaba Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alibaba with respect to the benefits of owning Alibaba Health security.