Almonty Industries OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ALMTFDelisted Stock | USD 4.28 0.13 3.13% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Almonty Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 4.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.73. Almonty OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Almonty Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Almonty Industries' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Almonty Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Almonty Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Almonty Industries from the perspective of Almonty Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Almonty Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 4.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.73. Almonty Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 4.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Almonty |
Almonty Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Almonty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Almonty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Almonty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Almonty Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Almonty Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 4.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Almonty OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Almonty Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Almonty Industries OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Almonty Industries | Almonty Industries Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Almonty Industries otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Almonty Industries otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.911 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4382 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1346 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.7306 |
Predictive Modules for Almonty Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Almonty Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Almonty Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Almonty Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Almonty Industries otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Almonty Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Almonty Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Almonty Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Almonty Industries otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Almonty Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Almonty Industries otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Almonty Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Almonty Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Almonty Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Almonty Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting almonty otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.79 | |||
| Variance | 163.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 71.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 44.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Almonty OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Almonty Industries check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Almonty Industries' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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