Almonty Industries OTC Stock Forward View
| ALMTFDelisted Stock | USD 4.28 0.13 3.13% |
Almonty OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Almonty Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of February 2026 the value of rsi of Almonty Industries' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Almonty Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Almonty Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Almonty Industries from the perspective of Almonty Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Almonty Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 4.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.73. Almonty Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 4.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Almonty |
Almonty Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Almonty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Almonty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Almonty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Almonty Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Almonty Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 4.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Almonty OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Almonty Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Almonty Industries OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Almonty Industries | Almonty Industries Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Almonty Industries otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Almonty Industries otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.911 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4382 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1346 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.7306 |
Predictive Modules for Almonty Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Almonty Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Almonty Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Almonty Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Almonty Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Almonty Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Almonty Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Almonty Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Almonty Industries' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Almonty Industries' historical news coverage. Almonty Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.28 and 4.28, respectively. We have considered Almonty Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Almonty Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Almonty Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Almonty Industries OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Almonty Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Almonty Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Almonty Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.28 | 4.28 | 0.00 |
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Almonty Industries Hype Timeline
Almonty Industries is presently traded for 4.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Almonty is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Almonty Industries is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.28. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Almonty Industries was presently reported as 0.15. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. Almonty Industries last dividend was issued on the 25th of August 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.Almonty Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Almonty Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Almonty Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Almonty Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Almonty Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BBMPY | BBMG Corp ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AZRMF | Azure Minerals Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PTHIF | PT Solusi Bangun | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AUCOY | Polymetal International PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SGSVF | Sabina Gold Silver | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KRRGF | Karora Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SVLKF | Silver Lake Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HCHDY | Hochschild Mining Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HASGF | T Hasegawa Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NIJPF | Nippon Paper Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 354.65 |
Almonty Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Almonty Industries otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Almonty Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Almonty Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Almonty Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Almonty Industries otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Almonty Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Almonty Industries otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Almonty Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Almonty Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Almonty Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Almonty Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting almonty otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.79 | |||
| Variance | 163.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 71.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 44.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Almonty Industries
The number of cover stories for Almonty Industries depends on current market conditions and Almonty Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Almonty Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Almonty Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Almonty OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Almonty Industries check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Almonty Industries' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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