Amyris Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| AMRSDelisted Stock | USD 1.01 0.06 6.32% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Amyris Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.59. Amyris Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Amyris |
Amyris Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Amyris Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amyris Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amyris' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amyris Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amyris | Amyris Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amyris stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amyris stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8166 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0916 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1006 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.5862 |
Predictive Modules for Amyris
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amyris Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amyris Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amyris stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amyris could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amyris by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amyris Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amyris stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amyris shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amyris stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amyris Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Thematic Opportunities
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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Other Consideration for investing in Amyris Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Amyris Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Amyris' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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