Ab New Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

ANJCXDelisted Fund  USD 8.98  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ab New Jersey on the next trading day is expected to be 8.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.30. ANJCX Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Ab New's share price is approaching 45. This suggests that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ab New, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ab New's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ab New Jersey, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Ab New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ab New Jersey from the perspective of Ab New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ab New Jersey on the next trading day is expected to be 8.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.30.

Ab New after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Ab New Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ANJCX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ANJCX using various technical indicators. When you analyze ANJCX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Ab New price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Ab New Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Ab New Jersey on the next trading day is expected to be 8.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ANJCX Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ab New's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ab New Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ab NewAb New Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ab New mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ab New mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.0044
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0377
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0042
SAESum of the absolute errors2.3002
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Ab New Jersey historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Ab New

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ab New Jersey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ab New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.988.988.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.328.329.88
Details

Ab New After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ab New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ab New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Ab New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ab New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ab New's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ab New's historical news coverage. Ab New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.98 and 8.98, respectively. We have considered Ab New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.98
8.98
After-hype Price
8.98
Upside
Ab New is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ab New Jersey is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ab New Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Ab New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ab New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ab New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.98
8.98
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ab New Hype Timeline

Ab New Jersey is presently traded for 8.98. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ANJCX is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ab New is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.98. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Ab New Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ab New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ab New's future price movements. Getting to know how Ab New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ab New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Ab New Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ab New mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ab New could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ab New by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ab New Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ab New mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ab New shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ab New mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Ab New Jersey entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Ab New

The number of cover stories for Ab New depends on current market conditions and Ab New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ab New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ab New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

Other Consideration for investing in ANJCX Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Ab New Jersey check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Ab New's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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